Headline: AUD/USD Breaks 200-Day Average, Bearish Momentum Takes the Lead
The Australian dollar slipped to fresh session lows against the US dollar, dropping below the 200-day moving average near 0.6458 for the first time since October 17. The breach of this long-term trend marker tilts the technical bias toward the downside and signals growing selling pressure in the AUD/USD pair.
Staying below the 200-day moving average keeps bears in control and places near-term focus on the next support levels. The October low around 0.6439 is the first key area to watch; a decisive move beneath it would expose the 50% retracement of the range from the 2024 high to the 2025 low at approximately 0.6427. That midpoint could act as a tactical battleground as buyers look to defend the level and slow the decline.
For traders, the roadmap is straightforward: confirmation comes from sustained trade under the 200-day moving average, followed by a break of 0.6439 and then 0.6427 to extend downside momentum. Conversely, a recovery back above the 200-day average would ease immediate pressure and suggest a potential pause in the bearish trend. Until then, AUD/USD technicals favor sellers, with momentum and price action guiding the next move.
Key Points – AUD/USD fell below the 200-day moving average near 0.6458, a bearish technical signal. – It’s the first move under this long-term gauge since October 17. – Immediate support sits near the October low at 0.6439. – Next downside target is the 50% retracement of the 2024 high to 2025 low at around 0.6427. – Sustained trading beneath these levels would reinforce bearish momentum. – A rebound above the 200-day moving average would reduce near-term downside risk.
