Nasdaq 100 Futures Edge Above Bullish Pivot as Nvidia Momentum Lifts Risk Tone
Key Takeaways
Nasdaq 100 futures are hovering near 25,104, holding just above a key bullish pivot at 25,095. With VWAP clustering around 25,120, the intraday bias remains constructive while price stays above these levels, favoring a measured, buy-the-dip approach over fresh weakness.
Above 25,095—and especially while holding above the 25,120 VWAP—upside checkpoints sit at 25,120, 25,145, 25,167, 25,197, and the 25,237–25,240 zone, where the standard intraday plan is considered largely complete. A stretch target at 25,360 remains possible for traders running a small remainder after securing profits. A decisive break back below 25,000 flips the script to bearish, shifting focus to 24,961, 24,903, and 24,822. After the second target is reached, many traders move stops to breakeven to protect gains.
Broader risk sentiment is getting a boost from Nvidia’s latest results. The chipmaker delivered another standout quarter, raised its outlook, and flagged visibility toward roughly $500 billion in AI chip demand through 2026—supporting the AI investment cycle and mega-cap tech. If Nvidia gravitates toward the $200 round number, the psychological pull could add intraday volatility and an additional tailwind for Nasdaq futures.
For execution, treat 25,095 and 25,000 as activation rails and use VWAP as a real-time decision point. Consider partial profit-taking at logical value areas to manage risk and avoid overtrading. If the opposite threshold is broken, assume the initial idea is invalidated and reassess rather than chasing late moves.
Key Points: – Intraday bias is bullish while Nasdaq 100 futures hold above 25,095 and VWAP near 25,120. – Upside checkpoints: 25,120, 25,145, 25,167, 25,197, and 25,237–25,240; extended target at 25,360. – Bearish scenario triggers only below 25,000, with targets at 24,961, 24,903, and 24,822. – Nvidia’s strong earnings and AI outlook underpin risk appetite; a move toward $200 could sway Nasdaq intraday. – Use VWAP as a decision level; after the second target, many traders shift stops to breakeven to protect gains.
