Headline: EUR/CHF Hits New Lows as Risk-Off Mood and SNB Stance Pressure the Pair
Introduction: The euro–Swiss franc exchange rate slid through the 0.9200 handle, entering uncharted territory and flirting with its weakest levels since the aftermath of the 2015 Swiss franc shock. As risk sentiment deteriorates, safe-haven demand is propelling the CHF, while policy signals from central banks add to the momentum.
The technical picture has turned decisively bearish. EUR/CHF is on track for its steepest weekly decline since April, with the clean break below 0.9200 removing a key support that has contained downside tests since last August. While intraday moves remain volatile, sellers are pressing their advantage. The close on the daily and weekly timeframes will be critical for confirming a sustained breakdown and gauging whether downside momentum has further to run—catching a falling knife remains risky until sentiment stabilizes.
Policy dynamics continue to favor the franc. The Swiss National Bank shows little appetite to defend specific levels or revive ultra-loose settings, having paused after earlier rate reductions and steering clear of a return to negative rates. Meanwhile, the euro benefits from pockets of resilience in the bloc’s economy, but with the European Central Bank on hold and still seen as having room to ease later, policy divergence remains modest at best. Layer on a negative risk backdrop, and safe-haven flows into the Swiss franc are overpowering any euro support.
Key Points: – EUR/CHF broke below 0.9200, entering uncharted territory and nearing multi-year lows – Biggest weekly drop since April underscores bearish momentum in the forex market – SNB is not defending levels and has avoided a return to negative rates, supporting CHF – ECB remains on pause, with future cuts still possible, limiting euro strength – Risk-off sentiment boosts safe-haven flows into the Swiss franc – Weekly and daily closes will signal whether the downtrend extends further
